how many are left

[Jim Gathmann <jim_gathmann@xxxxxxxxx>]

It depends on how it is done. The Grand National guys
did it via Vin # (if my memory is correct), the Saab
Monte Carlo cars did Saab ID #.... in either case, the
two gave pretty acurate results.
--- jsadowski <jsadowski@xxxxxxx> wrote:
> Not only that, none of the formulas take into
> account any non registered cars, so any these how
> many are left deals trying to make a buck are a
> waste of money.
> John
>   ----- Original Message ----- 
>   From: Bob Wilson 
>   To: mailing-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
>   Sent: Sunday, August 04, 2002 3:08 PM
>   Subject: Re: IML: how many are left
> 
> 
>   [Since no one (or no company) has access to DMV
>   records for all the states, those percentages are,
> at
>   best, only a guess.
> 
>   Bob]
> 
>   --- Mark McDonald <tomswift@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>   > Jim,
>   > 
>   > Thanks for that info.  Kind of sad, to me, to
> think
>   > that %90 of the 68s
>   > are gone.
>   > 
>   > I do think while those statistics may be true in
>   > general, some cars are
>   > exceptions.  For instance, convertibles, and/or
> the
>   > first and last model
>   > of anything.  I think people tend to preserve
> rarer
>   > bodystyles, or if
>   > they think the car will be more valuable later
> on. 
>   > The reason I say
>   > this is, there seem to be an awful lot of '68
>   > convertibles out there.
>   > 
>   > Jim Gathmann wrote:
>   > 
>   > > Actually, the '71 car would be about as rare
> (if
>   > not
>   > > more rare) due to the rate in which cars are
>   > > destroyed.
>   > >
>   > > Once I had stats on the % of cars which
> survive
>   > after
>   > > production. It basically came down to a small
>   > majority
>   > > of cars of a specific model (+/-65%) will be
>   > destroyed
>   > > within the first decade after production.
>   > >
>   > > By two decades, that number is up to +/- 80%
>   > destroyed
>   > > since production date (also- destroyed referes
> to
>   > > being crashed, sent to a junk yard, recycled,
>   > etc.).
>   > >
>   > > By three or more decades, about 90% of the
> cars
>   > made
>   > > since production date are gone. Fogret if
> those
>   > > numbers are right (going by memory- had it all
>   > nicely
>   > > done up on a poster once).
>   > >
>   > > So if you really think about it, your '83 is
> far
>   > more
>   > > common then the 1987 Reliant KPL21 sedan (2
> door),
>   > as
>   > > only 200 of those were made originally! (as
> seen @
>   > > www.allpar.com).
>   > 
>   > 
>   > 
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